mirror of
https://github.com/omnivore-app/omnivore.git
synced 2026-03-11 08:54:26 +00:00
3156 lines
140 KiB
HTML
3156 lines
140 KiB
HTML
<html>
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<head>
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<title>Tic's Weekly Thoughts</title>
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<style>
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@media all and (-ms-high-contrast: none), (-ms-high-contrast: active) {
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.typography .markup table.image-wrapper img,
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.typography.editor .markup table.image-wrapper img,
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.typography .markup table.kindle-wrapper img,
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.typography.editor .markup table.kindle-wrapper img {
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max-width: 550px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.typography .markup iframe.spotify-wrap,
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.typography.editor .markup iframe.spotify-wrap,
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.typography .markup a.spotify-wrap,
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.typography.editor .markup a.spotify-wrap {
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width: auto !important;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.typography .markup div.youtube-wrap div.youtube-screen,
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.typography.editor .markup div.youtube-wrap div.youtube-screen,
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.typography .markup div.vimeo-wrap div.youtube-screen,
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.typography.editor .markup div.vimeo-wrap div.youtube-screen {
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display: none !important;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.typography
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.markup
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div.embedded-publication-wrap
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.embedded-publication.show-subscribe,
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.typography.editor
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.markup
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div.embedded-publication-wrap
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.embedded-publication.show-subscribe {
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padding: 28px 24px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.typography
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.markup
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div.subscription-widget-wrap
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.subscription-widget.show-subscribe,
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.typography.editor
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.markup
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div.subscription-widget-wrap
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.subscription-widget.show-subscribe,
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.typography
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.markup
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div.captioned-button-wrap
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.subscription-widget.show-subscribe,
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.typography.editor
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.markup
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div.captioned-button-wrap
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.subscription-widget.show-subscribe {
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padding: 28px 24px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.typography
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.markup
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div.subscription-widget-wrap
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.subscription-widget.show-subscribe
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.subscription-widget-subscribe
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.button,
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.typography.editor
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.markup
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div.subscription-widget-wrap
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.subscription-widget.show-subscribe
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.subscription-widget-subscribe
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.button,
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.typography
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.markup
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div.captioned-button-wrap
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.subscription-widget.show-subscribe
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.subscription-widget-subscribe
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.button,
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.typography.editor
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.markup
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div.captioned-button-wrap
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.subscription-widget.show-subscribe
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.subscription-widget-subscribe
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.button {
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padding: 10px 12px;
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min-width: 110px;
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}
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}
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@media print {
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.typography .markup .button-wrapper,
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.typography.editor .markup .button-wrapper {
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display: none;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.typography .markup .apple-podcast-container,
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.typography.editor .markup .apple-podcast-container {
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width: unset;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (min-width: 481px) {
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.share-button-container {
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height: 38px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (min-width: 481px) {
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.share-button-container a.comment {
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height: 38px;
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line-height: 38px;
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padding-right: 10px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 480px) {
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.share-button-container .separator {
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display: block;
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margin: 0;
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height: 8px;
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border-left: none;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 480px) {
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.share-button-container a.share.first img {
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padding-left: 0;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (min-width: 481px) {
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.share-button-container a.mobile {
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display: none !important;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 1000px) {
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.congrats-box {
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flex-direction: column;
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}
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.congrats-box .congrats-box-right {
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margin-left: 38px;
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margin-top: 16px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 500px) {
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.congrats-box {
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display: none;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (min-width: 768px) {
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.post {
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padding: 15px 0 24px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.post
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.post-header
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.meta-author-wrap.alternative-meta
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.meta-right-column
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table.post-meta {
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margin-top: 6px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.post-contributor-footer .post-contributor-bio-table {
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display: block;
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}
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.post-contributor-footer .post-contributor-bio-table-row {
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display: flex;
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flex-direction: row;
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}
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.post-contributor-footer .post-contributor-bio-userhead-cell,
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.post-contributor-footer .post-contributor-bio-body-cell {
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display: block;
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}
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.post-contributor-footer .post-contributor-bio-body-cell {
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flex-grow: 1;
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}
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.post-contributor-footer .post-contributor-bio-body-table {
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display: block;
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}
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.post-contributor-footer .post-contributor-bio-body-table-row {
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display: block;
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}
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.post-contributor-footer .post-contributor-bio-copy-cell,
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.post-contributor-footer .post-contributor-bio-controls-cell {
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display: block;
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}
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.post-contributor-footer .post-contributor-bio-copy-cell {
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margin: 0 0 16px 0;
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}
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.post-contributor-footer .post-contributor-bio-controls-cell {
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width: auto;
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}
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.post-contributor-footer .post-contributor-bio-controls {
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margin: auto;
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}
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.post-contributor-footer
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.post-contributor-bio-controls
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.button.primary {
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width: 100%;
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}
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.post-contributor-footer .post-contributor-bio-text {
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font-size: 14px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (min-width: 768px) {
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.post-silhouette {
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padding: 15px 0;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.post-silhouette .post-silhouette-title {
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margin-top: 10.44225025px;
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height: 120px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.post-silhouette .post-silhouette-meta {
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width: 75%;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.post-silhouette .post-silhouette-meta.with-byline-image {
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margin: 20px 0;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.use-theme-bg table.post-meta.alternative-meta tr td.post-meta-item,
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table.post-meta.alternative-meta tr td.post-meta-item {
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padding-right: 16px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 370px) {
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.use-theme-bg table.post-meta.alternative-meta tr td.post-meta-item,
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table.post-meta.alternative-meta tr td.post-meta-item {
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font-size: 14px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.use-theme-bg
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table.post-meta.alternative-meta
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tr
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td.post-meta-item.guest-author-publication,
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table.post-meta.alternative-meta
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tr
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td.post-meta-item.guest-author-publication {
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display: none;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 370px) {
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table.post-meta tr td.post-meta-item .post-meta-button {
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height: 36px !important;
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}
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table.post-meta
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tr
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td.post-meta-item
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.post-meta-button
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.meta-button-label {
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display: none;
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}
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table.post-meta tr td.post-meta-item .post-meta-button > svg {
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margin-right: 0;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 370px) {
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table.post-meta tr td.post-meta-item {
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font-size: 12px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.post-preview > .post-preview-image {
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display: none;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.post-preview-silhouette .post-preview-silhouette-image {
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display: none;
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}
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}
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@media all and (-ms-high-contrast: none), (-ms-high-contrast: active) {
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body .markup table.image-wrapper img,
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body .markup table.kindle-wrapper img {
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max-width: 550px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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body .markup iframe.spotify-wrap,
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body .markup a.spotify-wrap {
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width: auto !important;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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body .markup div.youtube-wrap div.youtube-screen,
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body .markup div.vimeo-wrap div.youtube-screen {
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display: none !important;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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body
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.markup
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div.embedded-publication-wrap
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.embedded-publication.show-subscribe {
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padding: 28px 24px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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body
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.markup
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div.subscription-widget-wrap
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.subscription-widget.show-subscribe,
|
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body
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.markup
|
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div.captioned-button-wrap
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.subscription-widget.show-subscribe {
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padding: 28px 24px;
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}
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}
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|
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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body
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.markup
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div.subscription-widget-wrap
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.subscription-widget.show-subscribe
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.subscription-widget-subscribe
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.button,
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body
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.markup
|
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div.captioned-button-wrap
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.subscription-widget.show-subscribe
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.subscription-widget-subscribe
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.button {
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padding: 10px 12px;
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min-width: 110px;
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}
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}
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@media print {
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body .markup .button-wrapper {
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display: none;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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body .markup .apple-podcast-container {
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width: unset;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (min-width: 500px) {
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body .header a.logo {
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width: 42px;
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height: 42px;
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border-radius: 6px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 420px) {
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body
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.subscription-receipt
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table:first-of-type
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.subscription-amount
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.subscription-discount {
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width: 72px !important;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (min-width: 481px) {
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body .share-button-container {
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height: auto;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 480px) {
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body .share-button-container .separator {
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display: block !important;
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margin: 0 !important;
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height: 8px !important;
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border-left: none !important;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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body .footer {
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outline: 8px solid #f8f8f8 !important;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.digest .item .post-meta-item.audience {
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display: none;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (min-width: 500px) {
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.digest-publication .logo img {
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width: 42px;
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height: 42px;
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border-radius: 6px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.comments-page .container .comment-list .collapsed-reply {
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margin-left: 18px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.comment > .comment-list {
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padding-left: 25px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.finish-magic-login-modal .modal-content .container {
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padding: 24px 0;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (min-width: 541px) {
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.user-profile-modal {
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padding-left: 12px;
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padding-right: 12px;
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}
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}
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@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
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.subscribe-widget form.form .sideBySideWrap button.rightButton {
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padding: 10px 12px;
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min-width: 110px;
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}
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}
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|
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@media screen and (min-width: 541px) {
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.pub-icon:hover .logo-hover,
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.feed-item-icon:hover .logo-hover {
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display: block;
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}
|
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}
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|
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@media screen and (max-width: 768px) {
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.file-embed-wrapper {
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padding: 0;
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}
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}
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|
|
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@media screen and (max-width: 768px) {
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|
.file-embed-wrapper-editor {
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padding: 0;
|
|
}
|
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}
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|
|
|
@media screen and (max-width: 768px) {
|
|
.file-embed-wrapper-editor:active {
|
|
padding: 0;
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
@media only screen and (max-width: 630px) {
|
|
.file-embed-button.wide,
|
|
.file-embed-error-button.wide {
|
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display: none;
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
@media only screen and (min-width: 630px) {
|
|
.file-embed-button.narrow,
|
|
.file-embed-error-button.narrow {
|
|
display: none;
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
|
|
.audio-player-wrapper .audio-player .audio-player-progress {
|
|
border-left-width: 16px;
|
|
border-right-width: 16px;
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
|
|
.audio-player-wrapper
|
|
.audio-player
|
|
.audio-player-progress
|
|
.audio-player-progress-bar
|
|
.audio-player-progress-bar-popup {
|
|
top: -54px;
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
|
|
.audio-player-wrapper-fancy .audio-player .audio-player-progress {
|
|
border-left-width: 16px;
|
|
border-right-width: 16px;
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
|
|
.audio-player-wrapper-fancy
|
|
.audio-player
|
|
.audio-player-progress
|
|
.audio-player-progress-bar
|
|
.audio-player-progress-bar-popup {
|
|
top: -54px;
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
@media (max-width: 259px) {
|
|
.audio-player-wrapper-fancy
|
|
.audio-player
|
|
.audio-player-hero-image-container {
|
|
padding-top: 30%;
|
|
width: 30%;
|
|
}
|
|
.audio-player-wrapper-fancy .audio-player {
|
|
width: 100%;
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
@media (min-width: 400px) {
|
|
.audio-player-wrapper-fancy
|
|
.audio-player
|
|
.audio-player-hero-image-container {
|
|
padding-top: 60%;
|
|
width: 60%;
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
@media (min-width: 600px) {
|
|
.audio-player-wrapper-fancy
|
|
.audio-player
|
|
.audio-player-hero-image-container {
|
|
padding-top: 70%;
|
|
width: 70%;
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
|
|
.video-player-wrapper .video-player-button {
|
|
padding-top: 22.8%;
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
@media screen and (max-width: 540px) {
|
|
.video-player-wrapper .video-player-button.no-text {
|
|
padding-top: 18%;
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
</style>
|
|
</head>
|
|
<body class="email-body" style="font-kerning: auto">
|
|
<img
|
|
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Parts
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Unknown... ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌
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href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVkk2PozAMhn9NuRWRhJLmkMPOdLrL7MBMtx-a7gVB4kJaCIiEduHXbzo9jWTZku3XlvxY5BbKth951xrr3V1mxw64hpupwVrovcFAnynJKV5QSjHyJA8lWi6WnjLZqQdoclVz2w_gdUNRK5Fb1eq7YkFQGCGv4hJhQaBggYxYTgWjIqCRwEguTyyHoHgszgepQAvgcIV-bDV4Na-s7cyM_JjhtTOrhG2F7XOpdOmboTA2FxdftI0rdo8GM78BXOpxbqt2KCvr1GvbXkDPyArGVyTwYfzE9SU-tyQ570k6iTHZ3pT4ySa5Zt3f5zhKV2KRrGKSrvYmbupKulyyOwbJtCHp-TK9u_78M53cDCV-HdTbbj8luw1OtrGJdYqOKo5i_XQVZGNFc6iO5E9X4FCdNr743VyFfqs-XvP1P5jPRdptovHl_elj-TKKJCmfu6Z-295Mf_QUxwHGAcIMUYxR4GMfANHoxIKACXwSBPvNVZdF1EWzMGhK_O0mXs_N6N-GqnDF8k7pK-sgZS42g1Z2zEDnRQ3ywc8-3uCLaFaCht69h8xyy1EUkpBGjLDFkjxwOcAhZQGm4cJza2XrVJp_Q_QfomLN7g"
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Parts Unknown...
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href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxNkMtuwyAQRb8m7GLxxixYdNPfsHiMHVQbLMCJ_PclcReVGBhAo6tzvG2w5HKaPdeG3tvUzh1MglddoTUo6KhQphiMokIpRQkKhgcyihHFOs0FYLNxNa0cgPbDrdHbFnN6TwhGuCToYRyTiirvPHbakZFLB3pUHgQRUjHBr2B7hAjJg4EnlDMnQKt5tLbXG_u60e--6uFqs_5n8Hnr173kOa7QO0GYYJixe4v-3nKvYkNMC4qGYkoxoZooSgke6ABAlJw1xtrT2TM6bM-0OLnLG8fbQof_IaiYeg6v4-H65_IG_bx2zqmf25FiOydI1q0QLgXtMvmRMi2QoHTDYbLNEMkZV1IzLUZ2EXdHXGlMFReox4bcp5LpDB3hj-AXk-WLHA"
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<time datetime="2022-01-29T17:22:16.940Z"
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>Jan 29</time
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src="https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_32,c_scale,f_png,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack.com%2Ficon%2FRecommendIconRounded%3Fv%3D2%26height%3D32%26fill%3D%2523757575%26stroke%3Dnone%26strokeWidth%3D2"
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width="16"
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height="16"
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style="
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border: none !important;
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display: inline-block;
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float: left;
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height: 16px;
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vertical-align: top;
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width: 16px;
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"
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alt="Share"
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class="recommend-icon post-meta-icon" /></a
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</div>
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</td>
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</tr>
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</table>
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</div>
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</div>
|
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<div
|
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dir="auto"
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class="post typography"
|
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style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 26px; padding: 9px 0"
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>
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<div
|
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dir="auto"
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class="body markup"
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style="
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line-height: 26px;
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margin-bottom: 12px;
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text-align: initial;
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width: 100%;
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<p
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style="
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color: #1a1a1a;
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font-size: 16px;
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line-height: 26px;
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margin: 0 0 1em 0;
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margin-top: 0;
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"
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Traders-
|
|
</p>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
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color: #1a1a1a;
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font-size: 16px;
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line-height: 26px;
|
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margin: 0 0 1em 0;
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"
|
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>
|
|
I was bullish this week at 4200/4300 with the view the market
|
|
may balance between 4200 and 4500 for quite some time and I
|
|
was quite right in this assumption as the market made multiple
|
|
attempts to take out 4200 and failed each time.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<p
|
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style="
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color: #1a1a1a;
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font-size: 16px;
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line-height: 26px;
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margin: 0 0 1em 0;
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"
|
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>
|
|
This week’s installment of the Weekly Plan I will try to
|
|
figure out if this assumption still stands, various factors
|
|
that support this assumptions as well as the factors which may
|
|
be indicating that there may be more sell off coming ahead.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
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>
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<figure
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style="display: inline-block; margin: 0 auto; width: 100%"
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>
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<table
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class="image-wrapper"
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<td
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class="image-link"
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target="_blank"
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href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVUsuu3CAM_ZrJLhHPAAsWV5X6GxEPJ0NvAimQmaZfXzJZVUK2sXV8LB87U2FJ-dR7KrW7zFTPHXSEd1mhVsjdUSBPwWtBuBCC4M5r5rHksgtlmjPAZsKqaz6g2w-7BmdqSPFCcIrZiLunnqmkjhDFORtHRjmRnlrwXmHqJUfoJjaHDxAdaHhBPlOEbtXPWvfyoF8P8rM95-NQDluqcd-DS1tLhc0s0PwM1T0v39rU9CA_ft8B_VpS8u0_r9Oe05KhlPCCli8VYG-Im4Lwi4RfNM3Yw31Dq-ceELfWSdZbY2jPqIBecSx74y0lFoRQkg2FDmYzf1M073LP1Xrcy_iEnyHLJ5yRlDBK0bvR2J5Z0_oZjnovR2vxqJQ0bpKY_eFUDb92WLqgCSIEYaKwIASjgQwAWIyzQkg5MjtKhu0VFzvu44OhbSH_7ajLupzD-3jaVlwurT7ZNt3U_HbEUM8JorEr-FvFeh_DR9dpgQi5HYmfTNW4icfEqKjikt6iNZmZUIgIxrtG61NDRV2Dq8nVbHyIyz9-Ssbd"
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margin: 0;
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><img
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data-attrs='{"src":"https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f088e687-c6ab-4bae-9a50-d86bb16998ac_814x539.jpeg","fullscreen":null,"height":539,"width":814,"resizeWidth":null,"bytes":85316,"alt":null,"title":null,"type":"image/jpeg","href":null}'
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alt=""
|
|
width="550"
|
|
height="364.18918918918916"
|
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class="wide-image"
|
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src="https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1628,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff088e687-c6ab-4bae-9a50-d86bb16998ac_814x539.jpeg"
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style="
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-ms-interpolation-mode: bicubic;
|
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border: none !important;
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display: block;
|
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height: auto;
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margin: 0 auto;
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|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
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max-width: 550px;
|
|
vertical-align: middle;
|
|
width: 100%;
|
|
"
|
|
/></a>
|
|
</td>
|
|
<td style="text-align: center"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
</table>
|
|
<figcaption
|
|
class="image-caption"
|
|
style="
|
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color: #767676;
|
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font-family: sans-serif;
|
|
font-size: 14px;
|
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font-weight: 300;
|
|
line-height: 1.4em;
|
|
text-align: center;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
NFP on Friday
|
|
</figcaption>
|
|
</figure>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<em
|
|
><strong
|
|
><a
|
|
href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkUuOhCAQhk_T7DSAKLJgMZu5huFRKhkFA0V3vP3Q3QmBv6pSD75yBmFL-dZXKkje14L3BTrCqxyACJnUAnkJXks-Sik5I14Lz-ZxJqEsawY4TTg05grkqvYIzmBI8Z0xDkxMjOyaKzs25eeJWTHNCuZWiynhB7d6PthvY1N9gOhAwxPynSKQQ--IV3kMPw_-2w7u8AL46106m-XqgTVDU4xSSZVqauzKntxfiNtxd2uN8e6cyZhSLJ2xqWK35fRq4S7E9fhM2q1gciFBc8o5ZVwxyTmjPe8BmJxWRalyfHUD789n3Ox0TQ9Bz433pdqCxn3mIVmXu3_V3bbg9kby8TYiS3vPGgPeC0RjD_BfWPhl_sG3bBAht134xaBmkxiEnNSgxnn4smk0hVSUSzGS1tanlhU1BofJYTa-_egfQiybOg"
|
|
rel=""
|
|
style="color: #1a1a1a; text-decoration: underline"
|
|
>Image above is from "The Week"</a
|
|
></strong
|
|
></em
|
|
>
|
|
</p>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Without much ado, let us dive into the chart of S&P500
|
|
Emini (Chart A). This is the 5 auctions of this past week,
|
|
each graphically representing the frustrations of sellers as
|
|
they tried to break the lows. Each one of these levels and my
|
|
context was shared in 5 Daily newsletters this past week.
|
|
Posts are sent every day around 4 PM, after market close.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
From a 10000 feet view, this chart below shows me while the
|
|
lows were fought bitterly for and won by the bulls, the bulls
|
|
are not necessarily out of the danger here yet. Read on to
|
|
find out why I think so.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<div
|
|
class="captioned-image-container-static"
|
|
style="
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin-bottom: 16px;
|
|
text-align: center;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<figure
|
|
style="display: inline-block; margin: 0 auto; width: 100%"
|
|
>
|
|
<table
|
|
class="image-wrapper"
|
|
width="100%"
|
|
border="0"
|
|
cellspacing="0"
|
|
cellpadding="0"
|
|
style="margin: 8px auto; mso-padding-alt: 1em 0 1.6em"
|
|
>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td style="text-align: center"></td>
|
|
<td
|
|
align="left"
|
|
class="content"
|
|
width="1456"
|
|
style="text-align: center"
|
|
>
|
|
<a
|
|
class="image-link"
|
|
target="_blank"
|
|
href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVUt3OpCAMfZrxTsOv4AUXXzbZ1zAVqkM-BT_AmXWffnG82oS0pU3PaXpqoeAS02n2mEtzmbGcO5qA77xiKZiaI2MavTOKSaUUo40zwlEtdePzOCfEDfxqSjqw2Y9p9RaKj-HqkJyKnjZPIwGZpbN2oKhTiAMQpZydAejAHYObGA7nMVg0-MJ0xoDNap6l7PnBvx7sd33WhS4fUy5gvzsbt5ryGyxY_YzFPi9fYUp8sF8_d8C_lhhd_c_ruKe4JMzZv7Dmc0Hca8dNweRFIi-aaqbDfmOtpxaJnCarRTsB8FZwhe0gqW7BTZxNqNSgRZd5Bxv8jQHe-Z6rYtzL-ISfIfONzHuiUPTtTHvSCq3nFgbB2sritJMAjruRVtg_vdbdHpbGG0YYI5QNVDFGScc6RKr6eSBksGy2nHXbKyxTv_cPQbaF_bejJpl8du_jOdXicmn1ydbpxuq3I_hyjhhgWtHdKpb7GD66jgsGTPVI3AjF0F5wofqBD1LzW7Qqs1ADYUrIptK6WLuCKd6WaEsC58PyD1B3yCE"
|
|
rel=""
|
|
style="
|
|
border: none;
|
|
display: block;
|
|
height: auto;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
padding: 0;
|
|
text-decoration: none;
|
|
width: auto;
|
|
"
|
|
><img
|
|
data-attrs='{"src":"https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b3607e46-f160-488f-a942-5bbd8d5aad3d_1779x688.png","fullscreen":null,"height":563,"width":1456,"resizeWidth":null,"bytes":96602,"alt":null,"title":null,"type":"image/png","href":null}'
|
|
alt=""
|
|
width="550"
|
|
height="212.6717032967033"
|
|
class="wide-image"
|
|
src="https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_2912,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb3607e46-f160-488f-a942-5bbd8d5aad3d_1779x688.png"
|
|
style="
|
|
-ms-interpolation-mode: bicubic;
|
|
border: none !important;
|
|
display: block;
|
|
height: auto;
|
|
margin: 0 auto;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
max-width: 550px;
|
|
vertical-align: middle;
|
|
width: 100%;
|
|
"
|
|
/></a>
|
|
</td>
|
|
<td style="text-align: center"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
</table>
|
|
<figcaption
|
|
class="image-caption"
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #767676;
|
|
font-family: sans-serif;
|
|
font-size: 14px;
|
|
font-weight: 300;
|
|
line-height: 1.4em;
|
|
text-align: center;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<strong>Chart A</strong> Emini Daily Profiles, 5 Days
|
|
</figcaption>
|
|
</figure>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
More than half of the Nasdaq stocks have been cut in half in
|
|
market cap. Majority, as many as 75-80% are now trading below
|
|
their 200 DMA . These stats are not exactly the cheerleaders
|
|
of strong bull markets, if any thing they showcase the carnage
|
|
that has been done and portends possibly more.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
See below chart B for the 5 Day Auction in erstwhile momentum
|
|
sweetheart $ARKK. Cathie and her ETF has fallen from graces
|
|
and is now in the dumps. I was bear on this at 125 and is now
|
|
cut in half, last traded lows around 65 bucks.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Can it rise from here? This profile chart certainly seems to
|
|
indicate that to me. But not without a fight, and a little
|
|
help from the FED.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<div
|
|
class="captioned-image-container-static"
|
|
style="
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin-bottom: 16px;
|
|
text-align: center;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<figure
|
|
style="display: inline-block; margin: 0 auto; width: 100%"
|
|
>
|
|
<table
|
|
class="image-wrapper"
|
|
width="100%"
|
|
border="0"
|
|
cellspacing="0"
|
|
cellpadding="0"
|
|
style="margin: 8px auto; mso-padding-alt: 1em 0 1.6em"
|
|
>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td style="text-align: center"></td>
|
|
<td
|
|
align="left"
|
|
class="content"
|
|
width="1240"
|
|
style="text-align: center"
|
|
>
|
|
<a
|
|
class="image-link"
|
|
target="_blank"
|
|
href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVUkuu5CAMPE1nlyj8AixYPI0014j4mDR6CeQB6Z7M6Yd0ViMh29hyleWy1RWWlE-1p1K7y8z13EFFeJcVaoXcHQXyHJzimHHOMeqcog4JJrpQZp8BNh1WVfMB3X6YNVhdQ4pXByOITqh7Ko0F1qOUmjLwznk_ISSFQ9hrZpwTN7E-XIBoQcEL8pkidKt61rqXB_l64N_tWReHcphStf0ebNpaKmx6geY9VPu8fIOp6YF__dwB-VpScu3v13nPaclQSnhBy5cKsLeOmwKzi4RdNM2Yw35Dq-ceRmaMFbQ3WpOeEg69ZEj02hmCDXAuBR0KGfSm_6ao3-Weq2Hcy_iEnyHLJ0QjIsQ3AGhYPZ0k6gUluvdGMCCeGSnsjDAd_3Ashz0uXVB4xHhEWCKOMRoHPAAgPnk5jtJibwketldczLRPDzpuC_5vR11W5Rzex9O04nJp9cm26ebmtyOGes4QtVnB3SrW-xg-us4LRMjtSNysq0ITJZRPkkgmyC1ak5lyOWJOWddoXWpdUdVga7I1axfi8g_19McA"
|
|
rel=""
|
|
style="
|
|
border: none;
|
|
display: block;
|
|
height: auto;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
padding: 0;
|
|
text-decoration: none;
|
|
width: auto;
|
|
"
|
|
><img
|
|
data-attrs='{"src":"https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/10133f18-e437-4691-843a-fb85e3f5b98c_1240x729.png","fullscreen":null,"height":729,"width":1240,"resizeWidth":null,"bytes":66371,"alt":null,"title":null,"type":"image/png","href":null}'
|
|
alt=""
|
|
width="550"
|
|
height="323.3467741935484"
|
|
class="wide-image"
|
|
src="https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_2480,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F10133f18-e437-4691-843a-fb85e3f5b98c_1240x729.png"
|
|
style="
|
|
-ms-interpolation-mode: bicubic;
|
|
border: none !important;
|
|
display: block;
|
|
height: auto;
|
|
margin: 0 auto;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
max-width: 550px;
|
|
vertical-align: middle;
|
|
width: 100%;
|
|
"
|
|
/></a>
|
|
</td>
|
|
<td style="text-align: center"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
</table>
|
|
<figcaption
|
|
class="image-caption"
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #767676;
|
|
font-family: sans-serif;
|
|
font-size: 14px;
|
|
font-weight: 300;
|
|
line-height: 1.4em;
|
|
text-align: center;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<strong>Chart B</strong> ARKK Daily Auction
|
|
</figcaption>
|
|
</figure>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Fundamentals and earnings aside, S&P500 is impacted by
|
|
nothing more than geopolitics and FED liquidity or lack
|
|
thereof. 10 year yields are a very good indicator of FED
|
|
tightening or easing. And I use TLT quite a bit as a gauge of
|
|
this.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
TLT has been stubborn to trade below that vaunted 140 all this
|
|
week, rallying on Friday, and taking the equities with it.
|
|
This chart C certainly suggests there may be more juice to
|
|
this.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<div
|
|
class="captioned-image-container-static"
|
|
style="
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin-bottom: 16px;
|
|
text-align: center;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<figure
|
|
style="display: inline-block; margin: 0 auto; width: 100%"
|
|
>
|
|
<table
|
|
class="image-wrapper"
|
|
width="100%"
|
|
border="0"
|
|
cellspacing="0"
|
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cellpadding="0"
|
|
style="margin: 8px auto; mso-padding-alt: 1em 0 1.6em"
|
|
>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td style="text-align: center"></td>
|
|
<td
|
|
align="left"
|
|
class="content"
|
|
width="1090"
|
|
style="text-align: center"
|
|
>
|
|
<a
|
|
class="image-link"
|
|
target="_blank"
|
|
href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVUsuu4yAM_ZpmlwgMhLBgcTXS_EbEw0nRbSAXSDudrx_SrEYC29iyj_GxMxXXlN96T6V2p5jre0cd8VUeWCvm7iiY5-C1BCGlBNp5zT2dxNSFMi8ZcTPhoWs-sNsP-wjO1JDimSEY5SPt7hqoAwnMgZ-MV4I6pazi3AkBCyIRF7A5fMDoUOMT8ztF7B76XutebuzrBr_bcT4O5bClGvc9uLQ1V9jMik0vWN391K1MTTf49XMZ7GtNybf38pj3nNaMpYQnNn-piHvLuCBAnCDihGnCHu4bWzz3rTtr3cR7awzrOZPYtw9MvfGWgUUp1cSHwgazmb8pmle5-mo1rmF8zE-T5WMuwD1QGHu_KNpz5Ug_LRx6QgQZJy7a9TMlivyRIxn2uHZBAwEgFBSVAJQMMCBSOS6KEOVgcQyG7RlXO-7jjZNthf9m1GVd3sPruNsWXE-uPt7W3dz0dsRQ3zNGYx_oLxbrtQwfXucVI-a2JH42VdORMy5HxZSY2EVao5lLRUBy0TVYn1pW1DW4mlzNxoe4_gM0OsXV"
|
|
rel=""
|
|
style="
|
|
border: none;
|
|
display: block;
|
|
height: auto;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
padding: 0;
|
|
text-decoration: none;
|
|
width: auto;
|
|
"
|
|
><img
|
|
data-attrs='{"src":"https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f24d2126-df91-49c0-8f42-00506845684d_1090x760.png","fullscreen":null,"height":760,"width":1090,"resizeWidth":null,"bytes":49185,"alt":null,"title":null,"type":"image/png","href":null}'
|
|
alt=""
|
|
width="550"
|
|
height="383.48623853211006"
|
|
class="wide-image"
|
|
src="https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_2180,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff24d2126-df91-49c0-8f42-00506845684d_1090x760.png"
|
|
style="
|
|
-ms-interpolation-mode: bicubic;
|
|
border: none !important;
|
|
display: block;
|
|
height: auto;
|
|
margin: 0 auto;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
max-width: 550px;
|
|
vertical-align: middle;
|
|
width: 100%;
|
|
"
|
|
/></a>
|
|
</td>
|
|
<td style="text-align: center"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
</table>
|
|
<figcaption
|
|
class="image-caption"
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #767676;
|
|
font-family: sans-serif;
|
|
font-size: 14px;
|
|
font-weight: 300;
|
|
line-height: 1.4em;
|
|
text-align: center;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Chart C TLT Auctions
|
|
</figcaption>
|
|
</figure>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Last but not the least, here is the actual ten year bond
|
|
yields.. Still elevated but down from the highs. I have a
|
|
theory about where these end up for most of the year, read on
|
|
more to find out.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<div
|
|
class="captioned-image-container-static"
|
|
style="
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin-bottom: 16px;
|
|
text-align: center;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<figure
|
|
style="display: inline-block; margin: 0 auto; width: 100%"
|
|
>
|
|
<table
|
|
class="image-wrapper"
|
|
width="100%"
|
|
border="0"
|
|
cellspacing="0"
|
|
cellpadding="0"
|
|
style="margin: 8px auto; mso-padding-alt: 1em 0 1.6em"
|
|
>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td style="text-align: center"></td>
|
|
<td
|
|
align="left"
|
|
class="content"
|
|
width="949"
|
|
style="text-align: center"
|
|
>
|
|
<a
|
|
class="image-link"
|
|
target="_blank"
|
|
href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVUkuu5CAMPE2zS8Q3hAWLp5HmGhEfJ41eAnlAuidz-iGd1UjINrbKZbnsTIUl5VPvqVR0mameO-gI77JCrZDRUSBPwWtJhZSSEuQ192QUIwplmjPAZsKqaz4A7YddgzM1pHghBCN8IOipCZ4J9iMGS4QjAoyTZFADt1J6Try8ic3hA0QHGl6QzxQBrfpZ614e7OtBf7fnfOzLYUs17rt3aWupsJkFmp-huuflW5uaHvTXzx2wryUl3_7zOu05LRlKCS9o-VIB9oa4Kai4SMRF04w93De0eu4AC2vdyDtrDOs4k9ApQcbOeMuoBSnVyPvCerOZvymad7nnaj3uZXzCz5DlE_KBsdnPtpPMjR3n3nSjlLZTxoytHfV4NpPi6g-Tqt_jgoKmmFJMqCKSUoJ72gMQOcwKY-Xo7Bjtt1dc7LAPD463hf63IpR1Ofv38bStuFxSfbJtuKn57YihnhNEY1fwt4j1voWPrNMCEXK7ET-ZqsnAGZeDYkqM7NasqcylwlRygRqtTw0VdQ2uJlez8SEu_wDNRccv"
|
|
rel=""
|
|
style="
|
|
border: none;
|
|
display: block;
|
|
height: auto;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
padding: 0;
|
|
text-decoration: none;
|
|
width: auto;
|
|
"
|
|
><img
|
|
data-attrs='{"src":"https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4633fdfb-73c8-44da-877b-9aa8be72d0fa_949x379.png","fullscreen":null,"height":379,"width":949,"resizeWidth":null,"bytes":49998,"alt":null,"title":null,"type":"image/png","href":null}'
|
|
alt=""
|
|
width="550"
|
|
height="219.6522655426765"
|
|
class="wide-image"
|
|
src="https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1898,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4633fdfb-73c8-44da-877b-9aa8be72d0fa_949x379.png"
|
|
style="
|
|
-ms-interpolation-mode: bicubic;
|
|
border: none !important;
|
|
display: block;
|
|
height: auto;
|
|
margin: 0 auto;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
max-width: 550px;
|
|
vertical-align: middle;
|
|
width: 100%;
|
|
"
|
|
/></a>
|
|
</td>
|
|
<td style="text-align: center"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
</table>
|
|
<figcaption
|
|
class="image-caption"
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #767676;
|
|
font-family: sans-serif;
|
|
font-size: 14px;
|
|
font-weight: 300;
|
|
line-height: 1.4em;
|
|
text-align: center;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Chart D 10 year yields cool off the highs
|
|
</figcaption>
|
|
</figure>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Friday was a very good day for the equities. Capping off a
|
|
tumultuous week. It reinforced my opinion that prices below
|
|
4200 will be harder to achieve per my trade plans from last
|
|
week. I turned out to be right and we closed right above the
|
|
200 DMA at 4425. Here is the link to my trade plan from last
|
|
week, in case you have not read it yet:
|
|
<a
|
|
href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVkU2K5DAMhU8T7yrE_8nCi4GhrxEcW5WYSuxgy13k9uPqzKZBSPAk8cQnZxHWlC9zpoLkk2a8TjAR3mUHRMikFshz8EYzqbVmlHgjPB3lSEKZnxngsGE3mCuQsy57cBZDip8NyalQlGxmkUp6obTwavQjWMGdk5OfFquVHBZ_G9vqA0QHBr4hXykC2c2GeJaO_-nYVwsMDpPDbH2Ia1_qUtC6V-_S0ZrnPVAeb4DXfj1wS3XdsDwo4x3_yh3_W19pkh1TFY_Z2eO0YY1N_rj_Vw_woR5Ne8NCgmEDYwNlE9WM0aFnPQDV6jkNw-TY03HWH99xXdSpOjEcK_t1E8mmXP27bktrrh9KP2qDNLd61BjwmiHaZQd_88P7DT9E5xUi5PYeP1s0VAkutJr4JEd-42qAhZ4GpoUkzdanthXNL0T_ACOkogA"
|
|
rel=""
|
|
style="color: #1a1a1a; text-decoration: underline"
|
|
>PAST WEEKLY PLAN</a
|
|
>
|
|
</p>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Looking ahead, I am cautiously bullish into dips. At this
|
|
point in time, I do not see evidence that suggests there will
|
|
be earth shattering moves either on the downside or to the
|
|
upside.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
My current thinking is that we could balance here between
|
|
4200-4500 for few more days before a break higher into
|
|
4600-4700. Remember my thinking is not informed by any charts
|
|
or technical analysis but it is heavily influenced by the
|
|
order flow. These are the actual orders that hit the tape
|
|
every day. Order flow can and does change at any time due to
|
|
macro factors or sudden events. Therefore my opinion can
|
|
change at any time as a result. However, if we assume the
|
|
current factors stay in homeostasis, then I have no reason to
|
|
suspect 4200-4500 thesis is not intact this coming week.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<h1
|
|
style="
|
|
-moz-osx-font-smoothing: antialiased;
|
|
-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased;
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-family: 'SF Compact Display', -apple-system,
|
|
BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial,
|
|
sans-serif, 'Apple Color Emoji', 'Segoe UI Emoji',
|
|
'Segoe UI Symbol';
|
|
font-size: 2em;
|
|
font-weight: bold;
|
|
line-height: 1.16em;
|
|
margin: 1em 0 0.625em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<strong
|
|
>These are the main factors which I think support bullish
|
|
action:</strong
|
|
>
|
|
</h1>
|
|
<ol style="margin-top: 0">
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<strong>Seasonality:</strong> this is the tax season.
|
|
There is a natural tailwind for stocks due to various type
|
|
of tax events, whether that is 401, IRA contributions or
|
|
rebalancing.
|
|
</p>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<strong>Money Velocity:</strong> while CPI has run
|
|
rampant, the money supply has been in the dumps. This
|
|
suggests the inflation problem is more demand driven than
|
|
systemic. Think of money velocity as how many times the
|
|
same dollar bill changes hands. When the same dollar bill
|
|
goes from person to person or business to business,
|
|
several times, it creates more money velocity and IMO
|
|
those type of movement create persistent inflation
|
|
problems like we had in the 1980s.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<div
|
|
class="captioned-image-container-static"
|
|
style="
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
text-align: center;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<figure
|
|
style="
|
|
display: inline-block;
|
|
margin: 0 auto;
|
|
width: 100%;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<table
|
|
class="image-wrapper"
|
|
width="100%"
|
|
border="0"
|
|
cellspacing="0"
|
|
cellpadding="0"
|
|
style="margin: 8px auto; mso-padding-alt: 1em 0 1.6em"
|
|
>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td style="text-align: center"></td>
|
|
<td
|
|
align="left"
|
|
class="content"
|
|
width="1456"
|
|
style="text-align: center"
|
|
>
|
|
<a
|
|
class="image-link"
|
|
target="_blank"
|
|
href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVUsuu4yAM_ZpmlwgMhLBgcTXS_EbEw0nRbSAXSDudrx_SrEZCtrF1fCwfO1NxTfmt91Rqd5q5vnfUEV_lgbVi7o6CeQ5eSxBSSqCd19zTSUxdKPOSETcTHrrmA7v9sI_gTA0pngjBKB9pd9dKkgW8AeMmydCqhaGgajLUcmpBLhexOXzA6FDjE_M7Rewe-l7rXm7s6wa_23M-DuWwpRr3Pbi0tVTYzIrNL1jd_fStTU03-PVzBexrTcm3__KY95zWjKWEJ7Z8qYh7Q1wUIE4ScdI0Yw_3ja2eeyTCWjfx3hrDes4k9krQqTfeMrAopZr4UNhgNvM3RfMq11ytx7WMT_gZsnxC4i1fvDI9gHQ9F5b2E_Cpt0QIRDMqOY4zMEL-TJwMe1y7oIEAEAqKSgBKBhgQqRwXRYhysDgGw_aMqx338cbJtsJ_O-qyLu_hddxtK66nVp9sm25ufjtiqO8Zo7EP9JeK9TqGj67zihFzOxI_m6rpyBmXo2JKTOwSrcnMpSIguegarU8NFXUNriZXs_Ehrv8AlejG8A"
|
|
rel=""
|
|
style="
|
|
border: none;
|
|
display: block;
|
|
height: auto;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
padding: 0;
|
|
text-decoration: none;
|
|
width: auto;
|
|
"
|
|
><img
|
|
data-attrs='{"src":"https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0db4fd9a-227c-45b1-8248-b055eea69766_2300x840.png","fullscreen":null,"height":532,"width":1456,"resizeWidth":null,"bytes":192318,"alt":null,"title":null,"type":"image/png","href":null}'
|
|
alt=""
|
|
width="550"
|
|
height="200.96153846153845"
|
|
class="wide-image"
|
|
src="https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_2912,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0db4fd9a-227c-45b1-8248-b055eea69766_2300x840.png"
|
|
style="
|
|
-ms-interpolation-mode: bicubic;
|
|
border: none !important;
|
|
display: block;
|
|
height: auto;
|
|
margin: 0 auto;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
max-width: 550px;
|
|
vertical-align: middle;
|
|
width: 100%;
|
|
"
|
|
/></a>
|
|
</td>
|
|
<td style="text-align: center"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
</table>
|
|
<figcaption
|
|
class="image-caption"
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #767676;
|
|
font-family: sans-serif;
|
|
font-size: 14px;
|
|
font-weight: 300;
|
|
line-height: 1.4em;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
padding-bottom: 0;
|
|
text-align: center;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
M2 Velocity
|
|
</figcaption>
|
|
</figure>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<strong>Current inflation situation</strong> is due in
|
|
most part to destruction of supply channels. Demand is
|
|
there but for how long is any one’s guess. I see as
|
|
more and more coronavirus restrictions are taken off, the
|
|
supply may overwhelm the system, driving down the prices.
|
|
That may be next month, that may be months from now.
|
|
However looking at mid terms and political scene, I think
|
|
that is closer than you think.
|
|
</p>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<strong>Valuations:</strong> Valuations of some of the
|
|
bellwether stocks like GOOGL, have already been cut down
|
|
quite a bit! It is trading at a forward p/e of 19 and I
|
|
thought at 2500 it was ridiculous! So there is that…
|
|
yes more sell may come but once GOOGL starts trading at
|
|
2300-2500 you oughta think, “man this is
|
|
silly!”
|
|
</p>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<strong>Ten year yields</strong> have come off the highs.
|
|
I think they will find a balance between 1.7-2 % and that
|
|
will not be too extreme for the equities.
|
|
</p>
|
|
</li>
|
|
</ol>
|
|
<h1
|
|
style="
|
|
-moz-osx-font-smoothing: antialiased;
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|
-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased;
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|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-family: 'SF Compact Display', -apple-system,
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|
BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial,
|
|
sans-serif, 'Apple Color Emoji', 'Segoe UI Emoji',
|
|
'Segoe UI Symbol';
|
|
font-size: 2em;
|
|
font-weight: bold;
|
|
line-height: 1.16em;
|
|
margin: 1em 0 0.625em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<strong
|
|
>Then there are factors which are potentially
|
|
bearish:</strong
|
|
>
|
|
</h1>
|
|
<ol style="margin-top: 0">
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<strong>FED FED FED:</strong> despite the uncertainty
|
|
around inflation, Powell was adamant about pulling
|
|
liquidity out of the system . FED is the ultimate LP
|
|
(liquidity provider) . No liquidity = no stock market.
|
|
Less liquidity = lesser stock market. I think the way a
|
|
lot of funds read him is he wants lower stock prices.
|
|
Lower stock prices are deflationary by nature . So even
|
|
though the inflation may cool down, if enough people
|
|
believe Powell wants lower stock market that becomes a
|
|
self fulfilling prophecy.
|
|
</p>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<strong>Technical damage:</strong> S&P500 is within an
|
|
inch of 200 DMA. It may take lot more than one or two
|
|
closed above 4410 for calm to return.
|
|
</p>
|
|
</li>
|
|
</ol>
|
|
<h1
|
|
style="
|
|
-moz-osx-font-smoothing: antialiased;
|
|
-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased;
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-family: 'SF Compact Display', -apple-system,
|
|
BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial,
|
|
sans-serif, 'Apple Color Emoji', 'Segoe UI Emoji',
|
|
'Segoe UI Symbol';
|
|
font-size: 2em;
|
|
font-weight: bold;
|
|
line-height: 1.16em;
|
|
margin: 1em 0 0.625em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<strong>Key events next week:</strong>
|
|
</h1>
|
|
<ul style="margin-top: 0">
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
mso-special-format: bullet;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Monday: Chicago PMI and FED Speak.
|
|
</p>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
mso-special-format: bullet;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Tuesday: JOLTS and ISM
|
|
</p>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
mso-special-format: bullet;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Wednesday: ADP pre NFP
|
|
</p>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
mso-special-format: bullet;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Friday: Non FARM Payroll Report (NFP) AND Wage Inflation
|
|
numbers.
|
|
</p>
|
|
</li>
|
|
</ul>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
The theme of these events for me will be to see if we are
|
|
beginning to see the inflation numbers come down or are they
|
|
still surprising to the upside. Same for wage inflation
|
|
numbers. With regards to actual job growth, I think we are now
|
|
in a phase of market where good news is bad for stocks and bad
|
|
news is good for stocks. So any miss in the NFP number may be
|
|
perceived to be good for stocks .
|
|
</p>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Expectation is 166 K jobs added.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<h1
|
|
style="
|
|
-moz-osx-font-smoothing: antialiased;
|
|
-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased;
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-family: 'SF Compact Display', -apple-system,
|
|
BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial,
|
|
sans-serif, 'Apple Color Emoji', 'Segoe UI Emoji',
|
|
'Segoe UI Symbol';
|
|
font-size: 2em;
|
|
font-weight: bold;
|
|
line-height: 1.16em;
|
|
margin: 1em 0 0.625em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
With this context and background, here is how I am technically
|
|
preparing for next week’s trading:
|
|
</h1>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
I suspect Friday’s late rally was driven by short
|
|
squeeze. If so, we may find sellers here at 4430-4454. Key
|
|
level for me for the week ahead is 4360.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<ol style="margin-top: 0">
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
On Monday if we open or offer below 4360, I think more
|
|
softness may develop, testing the lows at 4288/4300. I
|
|
will validate this with the Tic TOP indicator and TRIN.
|
|
See this link if you have not yet viewed Tic TOP script:
|
|
<a
|
|
href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVkctu7CAMQL8m7BLxSMKwYHGlq_5GxMOToCYQgekof1_S6aYSD-kYY-vYGYQ15UufqSC5jwWvE3SEV9kBETKpBfISvJZ8klJyRrwePXtMDxLK8swAhwm7xlyBnNXuwRkMKd4Zk2DjzMimHZMjCKsmqxS31lHlrWHgJDXPxyTcu7CpPkB0oOEL8pUikF1viGfpxL-Of7SFwWFymI0PcR1KtQWN-xxcOlrwbHtLrz708f6gv59Bb1YTYsEeN2gEou_ER-7E__qZ1NTxueKxOHOcJqyx4buRX3qAD_Vo7AWWBM0p55RxxSTnjA58AGByfipKleNPJ_hwfMXVzufcjfRY-Z_2SNblGl51sy243sJ-aPO1tPuoMeC1QDR2B_9Wie-J_MhdVoiQ26T8YlCzeRSjnJVQ00O8zTXXo1SUy3EiraxPLSvqP7a-AVK0pq8"
|
|
rel=""
|
|
style="color: #1a1a1a; text-decoration: underline"
|
|
>Trend Trading using Tic TOP Indicator
|
|
</a>
|
|
</p>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Break of 4288 will become a bearish event for me and may
|
|
target recent swing lows at 4210.
|
|
</p>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
In an unlikely event of an open or bids above 4411 on
|
|
Monday AM, I will be bullish for a test of 4450-4456.
|
|
Validated with Tic TOP indicator.
|
|
</p>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Any openings or prints between 4360-4411 may be balance
|
|
trades for me, in anticipation of the jobs report on
|
|
Friday.
|
|
</p>
|
|
</li>
|
|
</ol>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Remember levels are static . Context and order flow is
|
|
dynamic. Always validated with other things like TRIN, TICK,
|
|
Tic TOP, etc
|
|
</p>
|
|
<h1
|
|
style="
|
|
-moz-osx-font-smoothing: antialiased;
|
|
-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased;
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-family: 'SF Compact Display', -apple-system,
|
|
BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial,
|
|
sans-serif, 'Apple Color Emoji', 'Segoe UI Emoji',
|
|
'Segoe UI Symbol';
|
|
font-size: 2em;
|
|
font-weight: bold;
|
|
line-height: 1.16em;
|
|
margin: 1em 0 0.625em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Earnings next week:
|
|
</h1>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
There are tremendous earnings next week with GOOG, AMZN, FB,
|
|
XOM being a few of them..
|
|
</p>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Keeping in line with my prior analysis of the general market
|
|
conditions, these stocks while attractive, may find some
|
|
selling action as well.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<h1
|
|
style="
|
|
-moz-osx-font-smoothing: antialiased;
|
|
-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased;
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-family: 'SF Compact Display', -apple-system,
|
|
BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial,
|
|
sans-serif, 'Apple Color Emoji', 'Segoe UI Emoji',
|
|
'Segoe UI Symbol';
|
|
font-size: 2em;
|
|
font-weight: bold;
|
|
line-height: 1.16em;
|
|
margin: 1em 0 0.625em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
AMZN
|
|
</h1>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Amazon specifically, last traded a high of 2900. This stock
|
|
BTW which I shared at 2700 before a 200 point zipper, if this
|
|
drops into 2500-2621 on earnings induced swoon may be a buy
|
|
for me.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<h1
|
|
style="
|
|
-moz-osx-font-smoothing: antialiased;
|
|
-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased;
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-family: 'SF Compact Display', -apple-system,
|
|
BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial,
|
|
sans-serif, 'Apple Color Emoji', 'Segoe UI Emoji',
|
|
'Segoe UI Symbol';
|
|
font-size: 2em;
|
|
font-weight: bold;
|
|
line-height: 1.16em;
|
|
margin: 1em 0 0.625em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
HD
|
|
</h1>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Home Depot which was my TOP stock in 2021 has been a victim of
|
|
recent sell as well. I did not notice earlier it had fallen to
|
|
the 350 lows recently and if it revisits those lows, I want to
|
|
be in. Last traded 366.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<h1
|
|
style="
|
|
-moz-osx-font-smoothing: antialiased;
|
|
-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased;
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-family: 'SF Compact Display', -apple-system,
|
|
BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial,
|
|
sans-serif, 'Apple Color Emoji', 'Segoe UI Emoji',
|
|
'Segoe UI Symbol';
|
|
font-size: 2em;
|
|
font-weight: bold;
|
|
line-height: 1.16em;
|
|
margin: 1em 0 0.625em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
XOM
|
|
</h1>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
This stock shared by me at 60 has been on a tear and could be
|
|
headed a bit higher after earnings as it makes a climactic
|
|
high. Last traded 75, in my opinion this may test 82-84 if
|
|
68/69 held.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<h1
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style="
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-moz-osx-font-smoothing: antialiased;
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-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased;
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color: #1a1a1a;
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font-family: 'SF Compact Display', -apple-system,
|
|
BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial,
|
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sans-serif, 'Apple Color Emoji', 'Segoe UI Emoji',
|
|
'Segoe UI Symbol';
|
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font-size: 2em;
|
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font-weight: bold;
|
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line-height: 1.16em;
|
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margin: 1em 0 0.625em 0;
|
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"
|
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>
|
|
FB
|
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</h1>
|
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<p
|
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style="
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color: #1a1a1a;
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font-size: 16px;
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line-height: 26px;
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margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
FaceBook has run into some execution issues especially with
|
|
their desperate foray into Meta and Crypto NFT space. I do not
|
|
know if this is temporary glitch or systemic issue with
|
|
leadership/execution. However, I am on alert to see if this
|
|
stock falls below 274/280 on earnings (last traded 301). If it
|
|
does , I do want to dip my toes in it and see if it holds.
|
|
</p>
|
|
<div
|
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class="captioned-image-container-static"
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style="
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font-size: 16px;
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line-height: 26px;
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margin-bottom: 16px;
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text-align: center;
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"
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>
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<figure
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style="display: inline-block; margin: 0 auto; width: 100%"
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>
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<table
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class="image-wrapper"
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width="100%"
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border="0"
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cellspacing="0"
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cellpadding="0"
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style="margin: 8px auto; mso-padding-alt: 1em 0 1.6em"
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>
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<tbody>
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<tr>
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<td style="text-align: center"></td>
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<td
|
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align="left"
|
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class="content"
|
|
width="727"
|
|
style="text-align: center"
|
|
>
|
|
<a
|
|
class="image-link"
|
|
target="_blank"
|
|
href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVUkuu5CAMPE1nl4g_YcHiaaS5RsTHSaOXQB6Q7smcfkhnNRKyC4NdlsvOVFhSPvWeSu0uM9VzBx3hXVaoFXJ3FMhT8FoSLqUkuPOaeTzysQtlmjPAZsKqaz6g2w-7BmdqSPHK4BQzgbunRtw4RRQZhWXeU9SAF9IzMIKTEfOb2Bw-QHSg4QX5TBG6VT9r3cuDfj3I73acj0M5bKnGfQ8ubS0UNrNA8zNU97x8K1PTg_z6uQH9WlLy7T6v057TkqGU8IIWLxVgbxk3BeEXCb9omrGH-4b2nntA3Fo3st4aQ3tGJfSK47E33lJiQUo1sqHQwWzmb4rmXe6-Wo17GB_4abJ8oDKjpEJAb8BCzwzwXmEpe3DGw4wFd9JNksg_HMthj0sXNEGEIEzaN0IwGsgAgKWYFULKkdlRMmyvuFixiwdD20L-G1GXdTmH9_G07XG5pPpEW3NT89sRQz0niMau4G8R670LH1mnBSLktiN-MlVjwSiTQlHFR3pr1lRmUiEiGe8arU8tK-oaXE2uZuNDXP4BXYrHCw"
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
border: none;
|
|
display: block;
|
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|
|
margin: 0;
|
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padding: 0;
|
|
text-decoration: none;
|
|
width: auto;
|
|
"
|
|
><img
|
|
data-attrs='{"src":"https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/9a87366e-aebe-4ae5-9177-ecadef165c7c_727x517.png","fullscreen":null,"height":517,"width":727,"resizeWidth":null,"bytes":35692,"alt":null,"title":null,"type":"image/png","href":null}'
|
|
alt=""
|
|
width="550"
|
|
height="391.1279229711142"
|
|
class="wide-image"
|
|
src="https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1454,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9a87366e-aebe-4ae5-9177-ecadef165c7c_727x517.png"
|
|
style="
|
|
-ms-interpolation-mode: bicubic;
|
|
border: none !important;
|
|
display: block;
|
|
height: auto;
|
|
margin: 0 auto;
|
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margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
max-width: 550px;
|
|
vertical-align: middle;
|
|
width: 100%;
|
|
"
|
|
/></a>
|
|
</td>
|
|
<td style="text-align: center"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
</table>
|
|
<figcaption
|
|
class="image-caption"
|
|
style="
|
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color: #767676;
|
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|
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|
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font-weight: 300;
|
|
line-height: 1.4em;
|
|
text-align: center;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
Chart E FB Monthly Auction
|
|
</figcaption>
|
|
</figure>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
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color: #1a1a1a;
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font-size: 16px;
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line-height: 26px;
|
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margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
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"
|
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>
|
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Subscribers get my earnings analysis before and after key
|
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events. Stay tuned as more actionable ideas develop for me.
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</p>
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margin: 0 0 1em;
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|
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>
|
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<p
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class="button-wrapper"
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line-height: 26px;
|
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text-align: center;
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"
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<a
|
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href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVUtuOmzAQ_Rp4K8IXLn7gYZtLN2lD2qbdTZ6QsQdiAiYLZin5-prNaqWVrJE8Z0Zz5pwR3EDZdlNybXvjziEz0xUSDWNfgzHQuUMPXaZkEuEgiiKMXJlQieIgdlWfFR1Aw1WdmG4A9zrktRLcqFbPHQFBNETuOaE5jVFIClHEPsJCBpwxwWlRMPBpQeA-mA9SgRaQwCt0U6vBrZOzMdfeIQ8OXttnlDCtMB2XSpdeP-S94eLiibax4PwVncrBIWvTXkA7ZAnTFgn8NB1xfdlULdlVf0l6E9PuMCr-vPZt7l9a_bqlS4H3f3bBj8W2hscHta9WOF2exrQqg93t0m-a2nZtwo3-ik7KR7vbyk-rlbL1N_m8UXu1rfi3p4pjhuRiyzx4WdY_DTmc0u9Z_HgpWCyr8ffLMaCmiYLpeNincRcuqgOJHRwOpskakGpoZs6znu_Jvh06YRdafiz3ZVSyBPOOi1Yb0MYW0Ij5OKKBqxLsY2xlZijCGPke9gBQFBbM95nAhSDYa151mYfX0KF-U-JPQrpd0k_eOJxzC5YzlbesddYOa5pBKzNloHleg7ybbu6380Y7K0FDZ29KZtwkKKSERiEjLIjJ3WN7FR9M7VjZ2i6dfPL1Px6O3qY"
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<h1
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style="
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-moz-osx-font-smoothing: antialiased;
|
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-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased;
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line-height: 1.16em;
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margin: 1em 0 0.625em 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
To Summarize:
|
|
</h1>
|
|
<ol style="margin-top: 0">
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
I was bullish on S&P500 at the lows last week and was
|
|
proven to be right as the market staged an impressive 200
|
|
point rally off the lows.
|
|
</p>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
While longer term bullish for a test of 4700, I do not
|
|
think the market is out of the woods yet as may chop
|
|
around due to technical and lack of clarity on a few
|
|
important data prints.
|
|
</p>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
That clarity may come this week with flailing inflation
|
|
and falling NFP numbers. Market paradigm may shift to
|
|
“<em><strong>Bad news is good news</strong></em
|
|
>”. Do not get shafted when the paradigm shifts.
|
|
Markets are forward looking, they do not make next moves
|
|
on yesterdays news.
|
|
</p>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<strong>Investor Tic</strong> is liking the sale being
|
|
offered on Big Tech names like GOOG, TSLA, AMZN, FB, HD
|
|
and will buy more if they fall more. Investor Tic time
|
|
frame is very long (10 years +) with the money he does not
|
|
need neither today nor a year from now.
|
|
</p>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li
|
|
style="
|
|
margin-bottom: 3.75px;
|
|
margin-left: 7.5px;
|
|
margin-right: 0;
|
|
margin-top: 3.75px;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<p
|
|
style="
|
|
color: #1a1a1a;
|
|
font-size: 16px;
|
|
line-height: 26px;
|
|
margin: 0 0 1em 0;
|
|
margin-bottom: 0;
|
|
"
|
|
>
|
|
<strong>Trader Tic</strong> expects more volatility. He
|
|
thinks one more dip before we really firm up on shifting
|
|
paradigm. But must validate with Tic provided tools like
|
|
TICK, TRIN, and TIC TOP indicators. Trader Tic shares his
|
|
levels and thoughts BEFORE market opens, every day.
|
|
Subscribe to get Trader Tic’s thoughts.
|
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</p>
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opacity: 1;
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>
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Have an awesome week ahead. Feel free to share this preview of
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the newsletter to help any one else who may need it.
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</p>
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<p
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"
|
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>
|
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~ Tic
|
|
</p>
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<div style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 26px">
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rel=""
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